malenkiyscot (![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png)
malenkiyscot) wrote2014-09-09 05:10 pm
malenkiyscot) wrote2014-09-09 05:10 pm
Some Fun Statistics :(
Doubling rates from running a linear regression on logarithm of Ebola cases over time:
Overall doubling rates (51 data points from 22 March to 5 September):
Cases: 32 days, R2=0.981
Deaths: 34 days, R2=0.979
In Liberia (22 data points from 2 July to 5 September):
Cases: 15 days, R2=0.995
Deaths: 16 days, R2=0.987
To put it in perspective: at this rate practically everybody in Liberia will have been infected in less than 6 months.
Overall doubling rates (51 data points from 22 March to 5 September):
Cases: 32 days, R2=0.981
Deaths: 34 days, R2=0.979
In Liberia (22 data points from 2 July to 5 September):
Cases: 15 days, R2=0.995
Deaths: 16 days, R2=0.987
To put it in perspective: at this rate practically everybody in Liberia will have been infected in less than 6 months.